2018 Iowa District 3 Us House of Representatives Election

2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa

← 2016 November half-dozen, 2018 (2018-xi-06) 2020 →
All 4 Iowa seats to the U.s. House of Representatives
Majority party Minority political party Political party Democratic Republican Last election 1 3 Seats won 3 1 Seat alter 2 2 Pop vote 664,676 612,338 Percentage fifty.v% 46.v% Swing 6.05% 7.eleven%
Democratic  forty–50%  50–sixty% Republican  l–60%

The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa were held on November half dozen, 2018, to elect the four U.S. Representatives from the State of Iowa, i from each of the state'south four congressional districts. The elections coincided with the gubernatorial election, too as other elections to the Business firm of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The country congressional delegation flipped from a 3–ane Republican bulk to a three–one Democratic majority. The Democrats had last won the majority of Iowa'southward seats in the 2010 elections.

Overview [edit]

Party		Candi- dates	Votes		Seats
			No.	%	No.	+/–	%
	Democratic Party	4	664,676	l.48%	3	two	75.00%
	Republican Party	4	612,338	46.51%	ane	2	25.00%
	Libertarian Party	4	29,894	2.27%	0		0.00%
	Independent	three	v,100	0.39%	0		0.00%
	Legal Marijuana Now Political party	ane	ii,015	0.15%	0		0.00%
	Dark-green Party	ane	1,888	0.14%	0		0.00%
	Write-in		732	0.06%	0		0.00%
Total		17	ane,316,643	100.00%	iv		100.00%

Popular vote
Autonomous			50.48%
Republican			46.51%
Libertarian			2.27%
Other			0.74%

House seats
Autonomous			75.00%
Republican			25.00%

By district [edit]

Results of the 2022 United states of america House of Representatives elections in Iowa past district:^[i]

Commune 1 [edit]

2018 Iowa's 1st congressional district ballot

← 2016 2020 →

Nominee Abby Finkenauer Rod Blum Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 170,342 153,442 Pct 50.96% 45.91%

County results Finkenauer:  50–60% Blum:  40-50%  fifty–60%

U.Due south. Representative earlier ballot Rod Blum Republican Elected U.S. Representative Abby Finkenauer Democratic

Republican Rod Blum, who has represented the district since 2015, was reelected to a second term with 54% of the vote in 2016. Notwithstanding, in 2018, Democratic Iowa State Representative Abby Finkenauer went on to flip the district, being one of many swing districts that gave way in surprising margins for Democrats in a moving ridge election.

The 1st district went for Donald Trump in the 2022 presidential election with a 49% to 45% margin, after voting for Barack Obama with a 56% to 43% margin in 2012.^[2]

Democratic primary [edit]

Candidates [edit]

Alleged

• Abby Finkenauer, state representative^[3]
• Thomas Heckroth, former staffer for United States Senator Tom Harkin^{[4] [five]}
• George Ramsey 3, former military recruiter^[5]
• Courtney Rowe, engineer and Bernie Sanders delegate at the 2022 country convention^{[half dozen]}

Declined

• Jeff Danielson, land senator^{[7] [viii]}
• Brent Oleson, Linn Canton Supervisor^{[vii] [9]}
• Steve Sodders, former country senator^[10]
• Stacey Walker, Linn County Supervisor^{[4] [ix]}

Endorsements [edit]

Abby Finkenauer

Country legislators

• Ako Abdul-Samad, country representative^[11]
• Liz Bennett, state representative^[11]
• Timi Brown-Powers, land representative^[xi]
• Pam Jochum, Land Senator and old President of the Iowa Senate^[11]
• Tyler Olson, quondam country representative^[11]
• Janet Petersen, land senator^[11]
• Kirsten Running-Marquardt, country representative^[11]
• Ras Smith, state representative^[11]
• Todd Taylor, land representative^[eleven]

Individuals

• Sue Dvorsky, former Iowa Democratic Party chair^[11]

Results [edit]

2018 Iowa's 1st congressional district Autonomous primary results past canton:

•  Finkenauer—80–90%

•  Finkenauer—70–80%

•  Finkenauer—60–70%

•  Finkenauer—50–60%

•  Heckroth—l–60%

Republican primary [edit]

Incumbent Rod Blum ran for re-election to a third term and was unopposed in the principal.

Results [edit]

2018 Iowa'south 1st congressional district Republican primary results by county:

•  Blum—100%

•  Blum—≥90%

Other Candidates [edit]

• Henry Gaff, co-chair of the Iowa Green Political party, announced he was running as a Green Party candidate.^[14] Gaff was simply eighteen, meaning he would not accept met the U.Due south. Constitution's required minimum age of 25 to be elected to the Firm of Representatives.^[14]
• Troy Hageman, activist (Libertarian)

General ballot [edit]

Debates [edit]

• Complete video of debate, October 5, 2018

Predictions [edit]

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[fifteen]	Lean D	October 3, 2018
Inside Elections[16]	Lean D	September 28, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17]	Lean D	October 4, 2018
Daily Kos[18]	Lean D	October 5, 2018
Play tricks News[nineteen]	Lean D	September 28, 2018
CNN[xx]	Lean D	October five, 2018
RealClearPolitics[21]	Lean D	September 28, 2018
The New York Times[22]	Lean D	October 5, 2018
Politico[23]	Lean D	October 9, 2018

Polling [edit]

Poll source	Date(due south) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Rod Blum (R)	Abby Finkenauer (D)	Troy Hageman (L)	Undecided
Emerson College	October 29 – November 1, 2018	353	± 5.five%	41%	53%	–	2%
NYT Upshot/Siena College	Oct 28–31, 2018	452	± 4.9%	39%	46%	4%	xi%
The Polling Company (R-Blum)	October 12–13, 2018	400	± 4.9%	43%	45%	4%	half dozen%
The Polling Company (R-Blum)	October 3–4, 2018	400	± 4.nine%	43%	44%	iii%	8%
NYT Upshot/Siena College	September eighteen–20, 2018	502	± 4.6%	37%	52%	–	11%
Emerson College	September half-dozen–eight, 2018	250	± 6.iv%	38%	43%	–	12%
DCCC (D)	February 13–14, 2018	—	—	41%	47%	–	—
Public Policy Polling (D)	February 12–13, 2018	742	± 3.6%	42%	43%	–	15%
Public Policy Polling (D-Heckroth)	November 2–three, 2017	737	–	42%	43%	–	16%
Public Policy Polling (D)	October 6–8, 2017	1,093	± 3.0%	40%	42%	–	18%

Results [edit]

District 2 [edit]

2018 Iowa's 2nd congressional district election

← 2016 2020 →

Nominee Dave Loebsack Christopher Peters Party Autonomous Republican Popular vote 171,446 133,287 Pct 54.79% 42.lx%

County results Loebsack:  50–60%  threescore–70%  lxx–80% Peters:  40–50%  50–lx%  60–70%

U.Due south. Representative earlier election Dave Loebsack Democratic Elected U.South. Representative Dave Loebsack Democratic

Autonomous Representative Dave Loebsack, who has represented the district since 2007, was reelected to a sixth term with 54% of the vote in 2016. Loebsack ran for reelection.^[24]

The 2nd district went for Donald Trump in the 2022 presidential election with a 49% to 45% margin, after voting for Barack Obama with a 56% to 43% margin in 2012.^[2]

Democratic primary [edit]

Incumbent Dave Loebsack ran for re-ballot to a seventh term in role and was unopposed in the primary.

Results [edit]

2018 Iowa's 2nd congressional district Democratic main results by county:

•  Loebsack—100%

•  Loebsack—≥90%

Republican primary [edit]

Candidates [edit]

• Ginny Caligiuri, businesswoman (write-in)^{[25] [26]}
• Christopher Peters, Republican nominee in 2016^[27]

Declined

• Bobby Kaufmann, state representative^[7]

Results [edit]

2018 Iowa'southward 2nd congressional district Republican primary results past county:

•  Peters—≥90%

•  Peters—80–90%

•  Peters—70–80%

•  Peters—50–sixty%

Independents [edit]

• Daniel Clark^[28]

General election [edit]

Predictions [edit]

Source	Ranking	As of
The Melt Political Report[29]	Prophylactic D	October 3, 2018
Inside Elections[sixteen]	Safe D	September 28, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Brawl[30]	Condom D	Oct 4, 2018
Daily Kos[18]	Rubber D	Oct 5, 2018
Pull a fast one on News[xix]	Likely D	September 28, 2018
CNN[31]	Safe D	October 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics[21]	Likely D	September 28, 2018
The New York Times[32]	Safety D	October 5, 2018
Pol[23]	Likely D	October 9, 2018

Polling [edit]

Poll source	Dates administered	Sample size	Margin of mistake	Dave Loebsack (D)	Christopher Peters (R)	Other	Undecided
Emerson Higher	Oct 29 – November 1, 2018	373	± 5.3%	53%	40%	–	5%
Gravis Marketing (R-Peters)	September 8–11, 2018	425	± four.8%	46%	38%	–	16%
				43%	37%	3%[33]	17%
Emerson College	September vi–8, 2018	250	± vi.4%	45%	21%	–	28%

Results [edit]

Commune 3 [edit]

2018 Iowa's 3rd congressional district election

← 2016 2020 →

Nominee Cindy Axne David Young Party Democratic Republican Pop vote 175,642 167,933 Percent 49.30% 47.14%

Canton results Axne:  50–60% Young:  50–threescore%  sixty–70%

U.S. Representative earlier election David Young Republican Elected U.S. Representative Cindy Axne Democratic

Republican David Young, who had represented the district since 2015, was reelected to a 2d term with 53% of the vote in 2016. He ran for a 3rd term in 2018, only lost to Democratic candidate Cindy Axne.

The 3rd commune went for Donald Trump in the 2022 presidential election with a 49% to 45% margin, after voting for Barack Obama with a 51% to 47% margin in 2012.^[2]

Democratic master [edit]

Candidates [edit]

Declared

• Cindy Axne, businesswoman^{[34] [35]}
• Pete D'Alessandro, political consultant^{[36] [37] [35]}
• Eddie Mauro, activist^{[38] [35]}

Did non brand election

• Theresa Greenfield, real estate executive,^[39] failed to make the primary ballot. After her campaign manager was fired for forging signatures on nominating papers, she attempted to re-collect the 1,790 signatures necessary to brand the ballot, but did not get enough signatures.^[40]

Withdrew

• Austin Frerick, quondam Treasury Department economist^{[41] [42]}
• Paul Knupp, psychiatric rehabilitation practitioner and minister,^[43] withdrew from the Autonomous primary to join the Green party^{[ commendation needed ]}
• Heather Ryan, nominee for KY-01 in 2008^{[44] [45]}
• Anna Ryon, attorney with the Office of Consumer Advocate^[46]
• Mike Sherzan, businessman and candidate in 2016^{[47] [48]}

Declined

• John Norris, former primary of staff to Governor Tom Vilsack, quondam Federal Energy Regulatory Commission member and nominee for IA-04 in 2002 (running for Governor)^[48]

Endorsements [edit]

Austin Frerick (withdrawn)

• Ro Khanna, U.Southward. Representative (CA-17)^[41]

Polling [edit]

Poll source	Dates administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Cindy Axne (D)	Pete D'Alessandro (D)	Eddie Mauro (D)	Undecided
Selzer & Co.	May 13–16, 2018	400	± 4.9%	26%	11%	27%	—

Results [edit]

2018 Iowa'due south tertiary congressional commune Democratic principal results by county:

•  Axne—70–eighty%

•  Axne—60–lxx%

•  Axne—l–60%

•  Mauro—xl–fifty%

Republican chief [edit]

David Young ran for reelection to a third term in role. No other Republican filed to challenge him.

Results [edit]

2018 Iowa's 3rd congressional district Republican primary results by canton:

•  Immature—100%

•  Young—≥90%

Full general election [edit]

Debates [edit]

• Consummate video of debate, October 11, 2018

Predictions [edit]

Source	Ranking	Every bit of
The Cook Political Report[fifteen]	Tossup	October three, 2018
Inside Elections[16]	Tossup	September 28, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17]	Tossup	October iv, 2018
Daily Kos[18]	Tossup	Oct 5, 2018
Fob News[19]	Tossup	September 28, 2018
CNN[20]	Tossup	October 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics[21]	Tossup	September 28, 2018
The New York Times[22]	Tossup	October v, 2018
Political leader[23]	Tossup	October ix, 2018

Polling [edit]

Poll source	Dates administered	Sample size	Margin of mistake	David Immature (R)	Cindy Axne (D)	Undecided
Emerson College	October 29 – November ane, 2018	380	± five.3%	45%	46%	3%
NYT Issue/Siena College	Oct 25–27, 2018	504	± 4.6%	41%	43%	11%
NYT Upshot/Siena College	September 27–thirty, 2018	502	± 4.6%	43%	44%	13%
Emerson Higher	September 6–8, 2018	260	± half-dozen.iv%	47%	31%	15%
DCCC (D)	September 4–5, 2018	575	± iv.1%	43%	46%	xi%
ALG Research (D-Axne)	July 8–12, 2018	500	± 4.iv%	41%	45%	xiv%

Hypothetical polling

Poll source	Dates administered	Sample size	Margin of mistake	David Young (R)	Democratic candidate	Other	Undecided
PPP/Patriot Majority U.s.	Oct 6–8, 2017	693	± iii.7%	44%	43%	—	—

Results [edit]

District 4 [edit]

2018 Iowa's 4th congressional district election

← 2016 2020 →

Nominee Steve King J. D. Scholten Political party Republican Democratic Popular vote 157,676 147,246 Percentage l.33% 47.00%

County results King:  40–50%  50–60%  sixty–70%  seventy–lxxx% Scholten:  40–50%  50–sixty%  60–70%

U.Southward. Representative before election Steve Male monarch Republican Elected U.S. Representative Steve Rex Republican

Republican Representative Steve King, who has represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 5th district from 2003 to 2013, was reelected to a ninth term in congress in 2018.^[56]

The 4th district went for Donald Trump in the 2022 presidential election with a 61% to 34% margin, after voting for Mitt Romney with a 53% to 45% margin in 2012.^[2]

Democratic primary [edit]

Candidates [edit]

Declared

• Leann Jacobsen, Spencer City Councilwoman^[57]
• John Paschen, physician^[58]
• J. D. Scholten, paralegal and old professional baseball game player^[59]

Withdrew

• Paul Dahl, candidate for Governor of Iowa in 2014^[lx]
• Kim Weaver, nominee in 2016^[61]

Declined

• Dirk Deam, Iowa State University political science professor^[62]
• Chris Hall, state representative^[63]

Results [edit]

2018 Iowa'south quaternary congressional district Democratic principal results by county:

•  Scholten—seventy–lxxx%

•  Scholten—sixty–70%

•  Scholten—fifty–60%

•  Scholten—forty–50%

•  Scholten—30–forty%

•  Jacobsen—xl–50%

•  Jacobsen—50–60%

•  Jacobsen—60–70%

Republican chief [edit]

Results [edit]

2018 Iowa's fourth congressional district Republican primary results by county:

•  Male monarch—fourscore–90%

•  King—lxx–lxxx%

•  King—threescore–70%

General election [edit]

The election on Nov 6, 2018, was between Republican Steve King and Democrat J. D. Scholten. King declined to debate Scholten.^{[64] [65]} King won by the slimmest margin of victory in his congressional electoral career.^[66]

Endorsements [edit]

Predictions [edit]

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[15]	Lean R	Oct 31, 2018
Inside Elections[16]	Likely R	September 28, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17]	Likely R	October 4, 2018
Daily Kos[xviii]	Prophylactic R	October 5, 2018
Play a joke on News[xix]	Lean R	October 31, 2018
CNN[twenty]	Likely R	October 31, 2018
RealClearPolitics[21]	Condom R	October 31, 2018
The New York Times[22]	Lean R	October 31, 2018
Pol[23]	Likely R	Oct 31, 2018

Polling [edit]

Poll source	Dates administered	Sample size	Margin of mistake	Steve Male monarch (R)	J.D. Scholten (D)	Other	Undecided
NYT Outcome/Siena College	Oct 31 – November 4, 2018	423	± 5.0%	47%	42%	1%	9%
Emerson College	Oct 29 – November one, 2018	356	± 5.5%	51%	42%	–	4%
Change Inquiry (D)	Oct 27–29, 2018	631	–	45%	44%	–	–
WPA Intelligence (R-King)	October 22–24, 2018	401	± 4.9%	52%	34%	3%	11%
Expedition Strategies (D-Scholten)	September 5–9, 2018	380	± 5.0%	43%	37%	–	–
Emerson College	September 6–8, 2018	240	± 6.5%	41%	31%	–	16%

Results [edit]

References [edit]

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13. ^ [1]
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22. ^ ^{a b c} "Elections 2018: Tracking the Firm Races to Watch in the 2022 Midterm Elections". The New York Times . Retrieved August 13, 2018.
23. ^ ^{a b c d} "Who wins 2018? Predictions for Every House & Senate Election". Pol . Retrieved September 7, 2018.
24. ^ Dolmage, David (August iii, 2017). "Loebsack lays out plan for 2018". Newton Daily News . Retrieved August 3, 2017.
25. ^ "Ginny Caligiuri announces bid for Congress in Iowa's second District". Des Moines Register.
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27. ^ Christopher Peters announces run for U.S. Congress, daily-iowan.Com, 2017/07/19.
28. ^ "danielclarkforcongress.com". danielclarkforcongress.
29. ^ "2018 House Race ratings". The Cook Political Report . Retrieved Baronial eighteen, 2018.
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31. ^ Burlij, Terence. "CNN Primal Races: Path to Firm majority comes into focus every bit a dozen races move toward Democrats". CNN . Retrieved August 18, 2018.
32. ^ "Tracking the Firm Races to Watch in the 2022 Midterm Elections". The New York Times . Retrieved August xviii, 2018.
33. ^ Daniel Clark (I) with 2%, Mark Strauss (L) with 1%
34. ^ Pfannenstiel, Brianne (June 2, 2017). "Cynthia Axne announces candidacy challenging David Young". The Des Moines Register . Retrieved June 2, 2017.
35. ^ ^{a b c} https://sos.iowa.gov/elections/pdf/candidates/primarycandidatelist.pdf
36. ^ "Democrat Pete D'Alessando exploring congressional run in Iowa'due south 3rd District". The Des Moines Annals. April 25, 2017. Retrieved August 26, 2017.
37. ^ Pfannenstiel, Brianne; Ufheil, Angela (August 26, 2017). "Democrat Pete D'Alessandro volition challenge David Immature for Congress". The Des Moines Register . Retrieved August 27, 2017.
38. ^ Noble, Jason (July 27, 2017). "Eddie Mauro exploring run for Congress in Iowa's 3rd Commune". The Des Moines Register . Retrieved July 28, 2017.
39. ^ Noble, Jason (July 5, 2017). "Existent estate executive Theresa Greenfield joins third Commune race for Congress". The Des Moines Register . Retrieved July 5, 2017.
40. ^ "Democratic Candidate Theresa Greenfield Fails to Brand it on Primary Ballot". whotv.com. March 19, 2018. Retrieved March 19, 2018.
41. ^ ^{a b} Noble, Jason (Baronial four, 2017). "Democrat Austin Frerick is running for Congress in Iowa'southward 3rd". The Des Moines Register . Retrieved August 8, 2017.
42. ^ "Iowa Congressional Candidate Drops Out of Race". whotv.com. March 17, 2018.
43. ^ "Background on Paul Knupp, another Democratic candidate in IA-03". Bleeding Heartland. June 12, 2017. Retrieved June thirteen, 2017.
44. ^ "Heather Ryan launches untraditional Democratic entrada in IA-03". Bleeding Heartland. June 7, 2017. Retrieved June 7, 2017.
45. ^ Rynard, Pat (July 5, 2017). "3rd Commune Candidate Heather Ryan's Disturbing Past Comments, Videos". Iowa Starting Line . Retrieved June vii, 2017.
46. ^ "IA-03: Democrat Anna Ryon is thinking about information technology". Bleeding Heartland. February one, 2017. Retrieved February 2, 2017.
47. ^ Obradovich, Katie (March 1, 2017). "Democrat Mike Sherzan to run for Congress in Iowa's 3rd District". The Des Moines Register . Retrieved March one, 2017.
48. ^ ^{a b} "IA-03: Mike Sherzan is out, Pete D'Alessandro to decide soon". Haemorrhage Heartland. April 13, 2017. Retrieved June 16, 2017.
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50. ^ "Ben Jacobs on Twitter". Retrieved August 29, 2018.
51. ^ "National Nurses United Endorses Cathy Glasson for Governor and Pete D'Alessandro for Congress". National Nurses United . Retrieved August 29, 2018.
52. ^ "Pete D'Alessandro". Our Revolution . Retrieved August 29, 2018.
53. ^ "Bernie Sanders endorses Pete D'Alessandro in Iowa'south 3rd District race". The Des Moines Annals . Retrieved August 29, 2018.
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55. ^ "The People For Bernie Sanders". world wide web.facebook.com . Retrieved August 29, 2018.
56. ^ Koss, Emily (June 2, 2017). "Steve King Running for Another Term in Congress". WHO-DT . Retrieved June ii, 2017.
57. ^ Cauthron, Randy M. (August x, 2017). "'Anybody with a potent vision can win here'". Spencer Daily Reporter . Retrieved August ten, 2017.
58. ^ Cannon, Austin (September 18, 2017). "Ames physician to run for Congress". Ames Tribune . Retrieved September 21, 2017.
59. ^ Noble, Jason (July 25, 2017). "Former Sioux City baseball player J.D. Scholten to run for Congress in Iowa's 4th". The Des Moines Annals . Retrieved July 25, 2017.
60. ^ Petroski, William (August 21, 2017). "Dahl to seek Democratic nomination for Iowa's 4th District Congress seat". The Des Moines Register . Retrieved August 21, 2017.
61. ^ "Kim Weaver withdraws her candidacy in Iowa's 4th Commune race for Congress". Des Moines Register . Retrieved August 17, 2017.
62. ^ Rynard, Pat (April 26, 2017). "Dirk Deam Passes On 4th District, Fred Hubbell Rumors Heat Upwards". Iowa Starting Line . Retrieved August 17, 2017.
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64. ^ "Is Steve King in trouble? Democrat J.D. Scholten bets hustle and grit are keys to upset". Des Moines Annals . Retrieved October 28, 2018.
65. ^ "No King versus Scholten debate in Iowa'southward fourth district - Radio Iowa". Radio Iowa. Oct 17, 2018. Retrieved Oct 28, 2018.
66. ^ "Steve King, scourge of immigrants, squeaks out a win". www.yahoo.com.
67. ^ https://world wide web.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/arizona/2018/eleven/02/jeff-scrap-backs-jd-scholten-iowa-democrat-over-republican-steve-king/1863509002/

External links [edit]

• Candidates at Vote Smart
• Candidates at Ballotpedia
• Campaign finance at FEC
• Campaign finance at Center for Responsive Politics

Official campaign websites for offset district candidates

• Rod Blum (R) for Congress
• Abby Finkenauer (D) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates

• Daniel Clark (Yard) for Congress
• Dave Loebsack (D) for Congress
• Dr. Christopher Peters (R) for Congress

Official campaign websites for third district candidates

• David Young (R) for Congress
• Cindy Axne (D) for Congress

Official campaign websites for quaternary district candidates

• Steve Rex (R) for Congress
• JD Scholten (D) for Congress

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Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2018_United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Iowa

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